Basic
Strategy
The
exciting thing about card games in general is that the results are
somewhat more predictable than games involving dice and wheels.
Sixteen
cards, a whopping 30 percent of the deck, are valued at ten when
playing blackjack. That climbs to 38 percent when you include nines
and 46 percent when you include eights. Consider the dealer's hole
card.
There's
a really good chance it's an eight, nine, or ten. Does that change
your impression of a six up card? There is a nearly one in two chance
the hand is a fourteen, fifteen, or sixteen. And consider what will
come out of the shoe when the dealer hits.
Meanwhile
you have a hard thirteen. What's coming out of the shoe for you?
Hitting a hard thirteen against a dealer six doesn't seem so appealing
anymore. With a six up card the dealer will bust about 42 percent
of the time. Why screw that up?
Mathematicians
have worked out the various probabilities. The result is a basic
strategy for playing blackjack that in most cases reduces the overall
house edge to less than one percent. Favorable rules push the edge
past zero and into positive territory.
Allowed
after splits. Variations of the strategy for hitting soft seventeen
and doubling after splits are minor and we'll cover them in a later
section.
Variations
of the strategy
less common and the strategy |